FOMC trading playbook: How a hawkish Fed could impact Nasdaq 100, Gold, EUR/USD and AUD/USD
Key takeaways The June FOMC meeting is a communication event rather than a rate decision event. Markets fully expect rates to remain unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, with the real focus on the dot plot, inflation forecasts, policy language, and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first press conference. Markets have rapidly repriced toward a higher-for-longer Fed. Fed funds […]
FOMC trading playbook: How a hawkish Fed could impact Nasdaq 100, Gold, EUR/USD and AUD/USD
Key takeaways The June FOMC meeting is a communication event rather than a rate decision event. Markets fully expect rates to remain unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, with the real focus on the dot plot, inflation forecasts, policy language, and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first press conference. Markets have rapidly repriced toward a higher-for-longer Fed. Fed funds […]
Asia open: Hang Seng underperforms on weak China’s retail sales, USD/JPY firmed above 159.75 after BoJ
Key takeaways Markets embraced a strong risk-on rally after the US and Iran agreed on a framework to extend the ceasefire for 60 days and fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz, sharply reducing geopolitical and energy-related inflation risks. Technology stocks reclaimed market leadership, with the Nasdaq 100 surging 3% as investors rotated back into mega-cap […]
Asia open: Hang Seng underperforms on weak China’s retail sales, USD/JPY firmed above 159.75 after BoJ
Key takeaways Markets embraced a strong risk-on rally after the US and Iran agreed on a framework to extend the ceasefire for 60 days and fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz, sharply reducing geopolitical and energy-related inflation risks. Technology stocks reclaimed market leadership, with the Nasdaq 100 surging 3% as investors rotated back into mega-cap […]
Asia open: S&P 500 rally pauses before Fed, Nikkei 225 eyeing 70,000, crude oil plunges to 3-month low
Key takeaways Global markets paused ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting, with investors reducing risk exposure before Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first policy decision and updated economic projections. The S&P 500 slipped 0.6%, while the Nasdaq 100 fell 1.9%. The collapse in crude oil prices continues to reshape the macro narrative, as WTI plunged to […]
Asia open: Hang Seng underperforms on weak China’s retail sales, USD/JPY firmed above 159.75 after BoJ
Key takeaways Markets embraced a strong risk-on rally after the US and Iran agreed on a framework to extend the ceasefire for 60 days and fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz, sharply reducing geopolitical and energy-related inflation risks. Technology stocks reclaimed market leadership, with the Nasdaq 100 surging 3% as investors rotated back into mega-cap […]
Asia open: Hang Seng underperforms on weak China’s retail sales, USD/JPY firmed above 159.75 after BoJ
Key takeaways Markets embraced a strong risk-on rally after the US and Iran agreed on a framework to extend the ceasefire for 60 days and fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz, sharply reducing geopolitical and energy-related inflation risks. Technology stocks reclaimed market leadership, with the Nasdaq 100 surging 3% as investors rotated back into mega-cap […]
Asia open: S&P 500 rally pauses before Fed, Nikkei 225 eyeing 70,000, crude oil plunges to 3-month low
Key takeaways Global markets paused ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting, with investors reducing risk exposure before Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first policy decision and updated economic projections. The S&P 500 slipped 0.6%, while the Nasdaq 100 fell 1.9%. The collapse in crude oil prices continues to reshape the macro narrative, as WTI plunged to […]
Asia open: S&P 500 rally pauses before Fed, Nikkei 225 eyeing 70,000, crude oil plunges to 3-month low
Key takeaways Global markets paused ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting, with investors reducing risk exposure before Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first policy decision and updated economic projections. The S&P 500 slipped 0.6%, while the Nasdaq 100 fell 1.9%. The collapse in crude oil prices continues to reshape the macro narrative, as WTI plunged to […]
Risk-on “TACO” redux: Intraday outlook on Nasdaq 100, DJIA, AUD/USD and Gold
Key takeaways A surprise US-Iran interim agreement has triggered a powerful risk-on rally, with Nasdaq 100 futures surging 3% and S&P 500 futures gaining 2% as traders aggressively unwind geopolitical risk premiums tied to the Strait of Hormuz disruption. Nasdaq 100, Dow Jones, AUD/USD, and Gold have all posted bullish gap-ups, but their advances remain […]